Abstract
Background. Diabetic retinopathy (DR) on the background of type 2 diabetes mellitus (DM2) is characterized by heterogeneity of the course, and the prediction of rapid progression after initial treatment requires available systemic markers of endothelial activation and inflammation. Aim: to evaluate serum levels of L selectin (LS) and E selectin (ES) as markers of DR severity and predictors of its rapid progression.
Materials and methods. In a prospective cohort study, 136 patients with DM2 and DR, staged according to WHO criteria as non-proliferative (NPDR), pre-proliferative (PPDR) and proliferative (PDR), were examined. Baseline LS/ES levels were determined by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay. Clinical trajectory was assessed after 1-2 years, distinguishing between no/slow progression (grade 0-1) and rapid progression (grade 2) of DR. Nonparametric tests, logistic regression with adjustment for age, duration of T2DM and systolic blood pressure, and ROC analysis were used.
Results. LS and ES concentrations increased monotonically with DR stage (p < 0.001): LS – 25.95, 55.65 and 67.15 ng/ml in NPDR/PPDR/PDR; ES – 24.30, 62.30 and 70.55 ng/ml, respectively. In adjusted ordinal regression, a 10 ng/mL increase in markers was associated with progression to a more severe stage of DR (OR 3.97 for LS; OR 5.77 for ES; both p < 0.001). Their high baseline levels predicted rapid disease progression (adjusted OR per 10 ng/mL: 4.77 for LS and 2.39 for ES; both p < 0.001). LS had excellent discrimination of rapid progression of DR (AUC 0.932; threshold 40.6 ng/mL), whereas ES best identified existing PD (AUC 0.892; threshold 50.0 ng/mL).
Conclusion. LS and ES are systemic markers of DR severity and independent predictors of its rapid progression over 1-2 years, although the cutoff values require external validation